Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.190570 0.220954 0.254631 0.294729 0.341189 0.393342 0.456361
2025-06-22 0.137881 0.177065 0.225096 0.288329 0.369468 0.470206 0.604995
2025-06-29 0.111027 0.152952 0.208021 0.285714 0.392671 0.535015 0.739369
2025-07-06 0.094312 0.137583 0.197718 0.287490 0.418386 0.602771 0.883192
2025-07-13 0.085327 0.130813 0.197195 0.301275 0.460805 0.696892 1.074416
2025-07-20 0.077269 0.123835 0.194829 0.311134 0.497547 0.785882 1.268162
2025-07-27 0.070518 0.117685 0.192522 0.320136 0.533201 0.876337 1.474387
2025-08-03 0.063651 0.110273 0.187023 0.322842 0.558332 0.952023 1.664835
2025-08-10 0.056720 0.101755 0.178485 0.319051 0.571521 1.008593 1.828655
2025-08-17 0.049791 0.092303 0.167110 0.308687 0.571552 1.041811 1.954246
2025-08-24 0.046444 0.088833 0.165761 0.315947 0.603776 1.135109 2.199652
2025-08-31 0.042707 0.084152 0.161600 0.317339 0.624944 1.209992 2.418516
2025-09-07 0.039811 0.080813 0.159714 0.323140 0.655823 1.307777 2.696382
2025-09-14 0.035767 0.074726 0.151850 0.316243 0.660826 1.355955 2.881141
2025-09-21 0.032641 0.070110 0.146339 0.313370 0.673489 1.420526 3.107206
2025-09-28 0.030331 0.066916 0.143337 0.315319 0.696353 1.508417 3.393436
2025-10-05 0.029415 0.066609 0.146324 0.330448 0.749362 1.665978 3.851995
2025-10-12 0.028185 0.065452 0.147330 0.341267 0.793987 1.810125 4.297725
2025-10-19 0.026967 0.064173 0.147909 0.351147 0.837555 1.956635 4.766768
2025-10-26 0.025347 0.061762 0.145647 0.354117 0.865238 2.069679 5.169588
2025-11-02 0.023399 0.058334 0.140649 0.349956 0.875279 2.142263 5.481994
2025-11-09 0.021191 0.054015 0.133065 0.338581 0.866231 2.167807 5.679197
2025-11-16 0.020316 0.052934 0.133209 0.346550 0.906740 2.319763 6.220454